Every recorded token's tick path, replayed against a grid of entry rules under the
honest execution model (0.85s entry lag at real tick prices, 2% slip cap, dump slippage, full fees —
calibrated on 542 live trades). Rules are conjunctions over age / vsol / velocity / SPT / creator-buy buckets.
⚠ DISCOVERY numbers — not forecasts. A cell only matters if it passes the pre-registered holdout gates below.
⚙ ENGINE v3 (2026-07-19) — exit magnitudes are priced from 869 real live trades
(TP mean +25.5% / max +108 · SELL −15.6 · SL −26.7), not tick lookahead; entries mirror the real live stack
(10% on-chain cap + Lighthouse guard-mirror, shown as guard%). Fantasy trades (+600% "TP"s) are structurally impossible.
Known limit: the TP payoff distribution comes from real tp25/tp40 trades — tp15 cells inherit it and are likely
overstated; compare tp levels with that in mind. "trimmed SOL/day" deletes the top 5% of trade mass first.
≥50 fires/day · honest-EV ≥ +2%/trade after fees at 0.1–0.5 SOL ·
profitable ≥4 of 5 days · n ≥ 300 holdout trades · written mechanism for persistence.
Pass → 1 week live-shaped paper → small live → scale. Nothing passes → venue verdict, miner moves to Base/Clanker.